US
US Interest Rates
Topic
42.1%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 11
Pending: 91
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The US Federal Reserve will have to cut interest rates.
"they have to cut race"
Jun 10, 2024
Pending
The US federal funds rate will remain extremely high (relative to the past 20 years) for at least 12 to 18 months from May 30, 2024.
"fed funds rate is guaranteed to be extremely high for at least the next 12 to 18 months"
May 30, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is considering slowing down its Quantitative Tightening (QT) program and the US Treasury will start buying back its own bonds, expected to lower long-term interest rates.
"the FED is now discussing slowing down its QT program which basically means that it will begin buyin..."
Apr 22, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is projected to implement three interest rate cuts between now and December.
"three cuts are on the schedule between now and December"
Mar 25, 2024
Pending
If the Federal Reserve indicates a desire to maintain higher interest rates in its Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), it could lead to a further downturn in the market.
"If the Fed reveals it wants to keep rates higher in the SCP there could be another leg lower"
Mar 18, 2024
Pending
The terminal interest rate for the current business cycle is 5.5%.
"about two years ago I suggested that 52% was likely going to be the terminal rate of this business c..."
Feb 22, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve will likely not cut interest rates in March 2024.
"I don't think the FED is willing to take that risk and that's why I think they will you know little ..."
Feb 13, 2024
Pending
The author's past prediction (made around early 2022) was that the terminal interest rate for this business cycle would be 5.25%.
"pal has said said that 52% is likely the terminal rate that was my expectation you know almost 2 yea..."
Feb 13, 2024
Pending
First US Fed rate cut predicted for May 2024, with a possibility of March 2024.
"as of right now the First Rate cut is potentially not until May it could still come in March by the ..."
Jan 23, 2024
Pending
Fed not predicted to pivot on interest rates in January.
"I do think pivoting in in January uh does certainly have a lot of risks and I I don't think they're ..."
Jan 23, 2024
Pending